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Due List

Regression is coming. These are the biggest gaps between expected and actual performance right now — hitters whose contact quality says they should be hitting better, pitchers whose ERA doesn't match what they've been giving up, and their opposites. Updated hourly from Baseball Savant.

How to read:xBA (expected batting average) and xERA (expected ERA) are Statcast metrics computed from exit velocity, launch angle, and pitch-level contact quality — they strip out the noise of lucky/unlucky balls in play. When a player's actual number drifts far from their expected number, regression historically closes the gap.