Prediction Accuracy
Every pick recorded. No cherry-picking. Updated hourly.
Model Overall Record
Edge picks — moneyline value plays
No resolved picks yet.
Rolling 30-Day Accuracy
No picks in the last 30 days.
Record by Edge Size
How the model performs at different confidence levels
High Edge
8%+
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Medium Edge
5-8%
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Low Edge
<5%
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Recent Streak
Last 10 resolved picks
No resolved picks yet.
Monthly Breakdown
No monthly data available yet.
Methodology
Edge Picks: The model compares its win-probability estimate to the implied odds from the moneyline. When the model sees positive expected value, it flags the pick. Every flagged pick is recorded the moment it is made — no retroactive editing.
Edge Confidence: "High" means the model sees 8%+ edge over the market. "Medium" is 5-8%. "Low" is under 5%. Higher edge historically correlates with better outcomes.
Pushes: Games that are cancelled or result in a push are excluded from win/loss calculations.